Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000278 0.000311 0.000347 0.000390 0.000437 0.000489 0.000551
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000212 0.000258 0.000313 0.000383 0.000469 0.000574 0.000712
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000177 0.000230 0.000297 0.000388 0.000509 0.000668 0.000891
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000154 0.000209 0.000284 0.000391 0.000543 0.000754 0.001071
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000184 0.000259 0.000373 0.000544 0.000792 0.001187
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000171 0.000250 0.000375 0.000571 0.000869 0.001368
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000109 0.000166 0.000252 0.000392 0.000620 0.000985 0.001626
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000153 0.000238 0.000384 0.000629 0.001037 0.001785
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000137 0.000220 0.000365 0.000618 0.001053 0.001883
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000131 0.000216 0.000369 0.000646 0.001139 0.002118
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000130 0.000220 0.000387 0.000699 0.001275 0.002467
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000122 0.000211 0.000382 0.000709 0.001333 0.002672
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000116 0.000205 0.000381 0.000729 0.001416 0.002946
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000108 0.000196 0.000373 0.000735 0.001473 0.003177
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000104 0.000194 0.000378 0.000767 0.001586 0.003552
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000100 0.000190 0.000381 0.000795 0.001696 0.003939
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000092 0.000178 0.000364 0.000779 0.001705 0.004084
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000089 0.000175 0.000366 0.000803 0.001811 0.004489
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000088 0.000178 0.000382 0.000862 0.002004 0.005157
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000083 0.000171 0.000374 0.000864 0.002061 0.005468
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000077 0.000160 0.000356 0.000839 0.002048 0.005586
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000075 0.000158 0.000360 0.000870 0.002180 0.006145
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000075 0.000162 0.000377 0.000935 0.002413 0.007050